Schugel isn’t an exciting prospect. He’s really not even a prospect. He’ll be 27 years old next season and has pitched six years in the minor leagues with a 4.04 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. His 7.2 K/9 is not exciting and he doesn’t have elite control (3.3 BB/9).
Statistically, there’s really no reason to think he’s any better than the guy he’s replacing on the 40-man roster, Tyler Olson. In three minor league seasons, Olson has a 3.86 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, with 8.0 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9.
There may be a difference in actual stuff, though. Schugel is a fastball/curve ball/change up pitcher. He pitched nine innings in the Major Leagues last year and his average fastball velocity was 91.7 mph. Olson is also a fastball/curve ball/change up pitcher, but his average fastball is a few miles per hour slower, at 88.6 mph. In this regard, Schugel may be a slight upgrade.
For what it’s worth, Steamer has them projected for 2016 like this:
4.16 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 6.3 K/9, 2.7 BB/9—A.J. Schugel
3.80 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, 2.8 BB/9—Tyler Olson