I'm not sure what a Kyle Lobstein is, but I know it's not as good as a Carlos Carrasco.
My pick: Indians 5, Tigers 2
Chicago Cubs (Jake Arrieta) @Cincinnati Reds (Anthony DeSclafani)
Over the last calendar year, Jake Arrieta has been a 6 WAR pitcher. He might be the true ace of the Cubs, despite being paid far less than nominal ace Jon Lester.
My pick: Cubs 5, Reds 3
Washington Nationals (Gio Gonzalez) @Miami Marlins (Dan Haren)
Bust out the brooms, Marlins fans! Dan, Dan, he's your man! If he can't do it, someone else can in relief if the game is still close.
My pick: Marlins 5, Nationals 3
Toronto Blue Jays (Mark Buehrle) @Tampa Bay Rays (Chris Archer)
The AL East is the tightest division in baseball. Three teams are tied for first at 10-8, the Blue Jays are next at 9-9, and the Orioles are last, at 8-10. The Rays have won four straight games and I'm expecting them to keep it going in this game against Mark Buehrle. Chris Archer is the Ray's best pitcher. So far this year, he's struck out 10.7 batters per nine innings and walked just 1.8.
My pick: Rays 6, Jays 2
Boston Red Sox (Wade Miley) @Baltimore Orioles (Bud Norris)
Bud Norris has given up 20 runs in 10-1/3 innings in three starts so far this year and he's facing the Red Sox, who have averaged 4.9 runs per game. If you're an Orioles' fan looking for hope then consider that Norris has a career 3.41 ERA and 1.26 WHIP against the Red Sox, so maybe he can come through with a good game in this one. I wouldn't count on it, though.
My pick: Red Sox 7, Orioles 5
Atlanta Braves (Trevor Cahill) @Philadelphia Phillies (Jerome Williams)
Still not picking the Phillies.
My pick: Braves 6, Phillies 4
St. Louis Cardinals (Lance Lynn) @Milwaukee Brewers (Mike Fiers)
Until he proves otherwise, I'm going to assume that Mike Fiers only pitches well in even-numbered years. In 2012, Fiers had a 3.74 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. In 2013, his ERA ballooned to 7.25, with a 1.52 WHIP. In 2014, he was very good in 14 games, with a 2.13 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. This year, an odd-numbered year again, his ERA is back up to 6.75, with a 1.70 WHIP.
My pick: Cardinals 5, Brewers 3
Kansas City Royals (Edinson Volquez) @Chicago White Sox (John Danks)
Still not picking John Danks to win.
My pick: Royals 8, White Sox 4
Texas Rangers (Nick Martinez) @Los Angeles Angels (Hector Santiago)
These two teams are reportedly involved in a trade that would send Josh Hamilton back to the Rangers, a team for whom he had his most successful seasons. Hamilton signed a 5-year, $125 million contract with the Angels before the 2013 season and immediately went from being a player worth roughly 3.8 WAR per season in the previous two seasons to a 1.5 WAR player in 2013 and 2014. In the offseason, he admitted to falling off the wagon in his long, ongoing battle with substance abuse and the Angels have been trying to get rid of him every since. The final terms of a trade haven't been revealed, but it sounds like the Angels won't be getting anything in return for Hamilton and will pay the vast majority of his contract. It's a good deal for the Rangers and, hopefully, Hamilton will be able to manage his problems with addiction.
My pick: Angels 6, Rangers 4
Houston Astros (Asher Wojciechowski) @Oakland Athletics (Drew Pomeranz)
The A's have lost two straight to the Astros and have fallen to three games behind them in the AL West. They need to turn it around and Drew Pomeranz is just the guy to do it.
My pick: Athletics 8, Astros 3
Minnesota Twins (Kyle Gibson) @Seattle Mariners (Roenis Elias)
With Hisashi Iwakuma going to the DL, the Mariners will call up Roenis Elias to start this game. Elias has not pitched well in AAA this year (8.04 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9) but won 10 games in 29 starts with the Mariners last year and had a respectable 3.85 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. He should be good enough to beat the Twins.
My pick: Mariners 7, Twins 5
Los Angeles Dodgers (Scott Baker) @San Diego Padres (Brandon Morrow)
It had been reported that the Dodgers were going to call up Joe Wieland from AAA to pitch this game but they've turned to Scott Baker instead. Baker has had injury problems going back to 2010, when he last started more than 25 games. He's been good in AAA, so maybe he'll be healthy for another few months or so. For the Padres, Brandon Morrow is a couple starts from reaching his total number of innings pitched from last year and has done well in the early-going. He has a 3.15 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, with a corresponding 3.21 xFIP and 3.43 SIERA.
My pick: Padres 6, Dodgers 3
San Francisco Giants (Tim Lincecum) @Colorado Rockies (Tyler Matzek)
Like most pitchers, Tim Lincecum has not fared well when pitching at Coors Field. In 14 starts in Colorado, Lincecum has a 4.52 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Tyler Matzek, on the other hand, has been solid pitching at high elevation. In 10 starts at Coors Field, Matzek has a 3.52 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.
My pick: Rockies 6, Giants 4
Pittsburgh Pirates (Francisco Liriano) @Arizona Diamondbacks (Jeremy Hellickson)
The Pirates are looking to stretch their winning streak to five straight and Jeremy Hellickson is just the pitcher to do it against.
My pick: Pirates 7, Diamondbacks 2
New York Mets (Jonathon Niese) @New York Yankees (Nathan Eovaldi)
This is the finale of a three game series. The Yankees busted out the whoopin' sticks in game one against Jacob deGrom and the Mets got their revenge against CC Sabathia in game two. The Subway Series is tied at a game each and now we have some off-off-Broadway pitchers going at it. After struggling against Matt Harvey on Saturday, I expect the Yankees to feast on Jonathon Niese like he's the early-bird special at the Old Country Buffet.
My pick: Yankees 8, Mets 4