The Mets' 11-game winning streak is tied for the best in club history, while the Yankees have won three straight and six of their last seven. The Mets have a 4-1/2 game lead in the NL East and the Yankees are tied with the Red Sox and Blue Jays in the AL East. This is one of the few times in the history of the Subway Series that both team are good, although it is early in the season so we really don't know just how good these teams will be. If you have the MLB Network, you can watch the game with Statcast, a state-of-the-art tracking technology that precisely tracks the location and movement of the ball and every player on the field at any given time. It's an intriguing new technology that will take some time to get used to and to find some practical uses for. As for the actual game on the field, Jacob deGrom is looking to go 3-0. He has a 0.93 ERA in his first three starts. Michael Pineda is also 2-0 but with a 5.00 ERA that is misleading. His FIP is 2.61.
My pick: Yankees 5, Mets 4
Boston Red Sox (Rick Porcello) @Baltimore Orioles (Miguel Gonzalez)
The Red Sox have lost two straight and the Orioles are riding a four-game losing streak. These two pitchers squared off last Sunday and the Orioles blasted Porcello for eight runs and 12 hits. They are unlikely to do as well in this game but I think they can stem the tied of the losing streak and get back in the win column.
My pick: Orioles 6, Red Sox 5
Atlanta Braves (Alex Wood) @Philadelphia Phillies (Aaron Harang)
Surprisingly, the Braves are over .500 with a record of 8-7 but that is mainly the product of an early fast start. In their last 10 games, they are 3-7. The Phillies are a more-expected 5-11 and tied with the Marlins at the bottom of the NL East. Aaron Harang is off to a good start in a small sample size of three starts. He has a 2.94 FIP (3.91 xFIP) and has two of the Phillies' five wins. Alex Wood didn't strike out a batter in his last start against the Blue Jays but should fair better in this one.
My pick: Braves 6, Phillies 3
Cleveland Indians (Danny Salazar) @Detroit Tigers (Shane Greene)
The Tigers are coming off three straight losses to the Yankees and have dropped out of first place. The Indians are still trying to get their season untracked but have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games and are six games behind the Royals in the AL Central. Danny Salazar struggled in spring training and was sent to the minors but came back last Saturday and struck out 10 in six innings in a victory over the Twins. The Tigers have scored 29 more runs than the Twins, so he likely won't have it so easy this time out. Shane Greene is 3-0 with a 0.39 ERA but it comes with an unsustainable .188 BABIP and a low 4.3 K/9.
My pick: Indians 5, Tigers 4
Chicago Cubs (Jon Lester) @Cincinnati Reds (Mike Leake)
The Cubs are still waiting for a good outing from their big offseason acquisition, Jon Lester. Lester has given up at least three earned runs in each of his first three starts and is 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA for the season. The good news is that he has a ridiculously high .434 BABIP that can't possibly get worse. His strikeout rate is similar to his numbers in 2012 and 2013 and his walk rate is nearly equal to last year's rate, which was the best of his career. He should turn things around quickly, perhaps with this start. If the Reds' Billy Hamilton gets on base, watch for him to run wild on Lester.
My pick: Cubs 6, Reds 3
Washington Nationals (Jordan Zimmermann) @Miami Marlins (Mat Latos)
Mat Latos is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA and 2.38 WHIP. He's been one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball and the underlying metrics are mixed. He has a .485 BABIP, which is ridiculous and will come down. He also has a very low 50.9% LOB% which should get better and his 20% K% is 2.4% better than last season but his 12% BB% is the worst walk rate of his career. Add it all together and he shouldn't be nearly as bad as he's been but his 4.50 xFIP is nothing to be thrilled about if your a Marlins' fan.
My pick: Nationals 7, Marlins 3
Toronto Blue Jays (R.A. Dickey) @Tampa Bay Rays (Drew Smyly)
The Toronto Blue Jays have won three straight and have scored the most runs in baseball, averaging 5.9 runs/game. The Rays' Drew Smyly is making his first start of the year because he's coming off an injury. It's a rough landing spot for Smyly and I'm not expecting greatness from him just yet.
My pick: Blue Jays 8, Rays 4
Kansas City Royals (Danny Duffy) @Chicago White Sox (Jose Quintana)
The Royals and White Sox squared off in round one of this four game series with a wild bout of fisticuffs that, as usual, involved Royals' starter Yordano Ventura. Hopefully, cooler heads will prevail in this matchup of left-handed starters. The Royals have hit lefties hard so far this year, with a 132 wRC+, good for third in all of baseball. The White Sox have really struggled against lefties, with a 45 wRC+, second-to-worst in baseball.
St. Louis Cardinals (Carlos Martinez) @Milwaukee Brewers (Matt Garza)
The Cardinals are 10-4 and have a +23 run differential. The Brewers are 3-13 and have a -45 run differential. All logic dictates a Cardinals' victory, but I'm going against logic and taking the Brew Crew.
San Francisco Giants (Chris Heston) @Colorado Rockies (Eddie Butler)
Giants' rookie starter Chris Heston is off to a great start to the season, with a 0.87 ERA so far. A good way to blow up a sub-1.00 ERA is a start at Coors Field. Heston's counterpart on the Rockies is Eddie Butler, also a rookie off to a good start, with a 2.25 ERA. Neither pitcher is as good as his numbers would suggest so this game could feature some correction in that department.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Gerrit Cole) @Arizona Diamondbacks (Josh Collmenter)
Early in the season, the Pirates and Diamondbacks have similar records and runs scored and allowed. Last year, there was a back-and-forth between these teams when the Pirates' Ernesto Frieri hit Paul Goldschmidt with a pitch that fractured his hand and ended his season. The next night, the Diamondbacks' Randall Delgado hit Andrew McCutchen. That was a long time ago and shouldn't affect this series, but if Goldy or Cutch are hit in this series, things could get testy once again.
Texas Rangers (Wandy Rodriguez) @Los Angeles Angels (Garrett Richards)
Wandy Rodriguez hasn't had a fully-healthy season since 2012 and is making his debut with the Rangers in this game. Garrett Richards has made one start this year after an injury delayed his 2015 debut. Richards is a good pitcher, while Wandy is end-of-rotation fodder.
Houston Astros (Dallas Keuchel) @Oakland Athletics (Scott Kazmir)
The Astros and A's are first and second in the AL West and both have good left-handed pitchers squaring off in this game. The Astros have been right around league average against lefties so far this year, while the Athletics have been well below league average against southpaws. Despite this discrepancy, I like the A's in this one.
Minnesota Twins (Phil Hughes) @Seattle Mariners (Felix Hernandez)
It's King Felix Day in Seattle! Get our your K-cards and head down to the King's Court at Safeco Field and join the celebration!
Los Angeles Dodgers (Zack Greinke) @San Diego Padres (Andrew Cashner)
This is an early-season battle of the two teams tied for first in the AL West. The Dodgers were expected to be one of the best teams in baseball, while the Padres were more of an unknown commodity after all of the offseason moves they made. So far, so good for the Padres. They have a +22 run differential, good for third in the National League. They also lead the NL in runs scored, with an average of 5 runs per game.